Effects of exchange rate volatility on international trade flows evidence from panel data analysis and fuzzy approach

dc.authorid0000-0002-1491-4722
dc.contributor.authorNuroğlu, Elif
dc.contributor.authorKunst, Robert M.
dc.date.accessioned2024-03-22T06:31:16Z
dc.date.available2024-03-22T06:31:16Z
dc.date.issued2018
dc.departmentTAÜ, İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi, İktisat Bölümüen_US
dc.description.abstractThe aim of this paper is to analyze the effects of exchange rate volatility on international trade fl ows by using two different approaches, the panel data analysis and fuzzy logic, and to compare the results. To a panel with the cross section dimension of 91 pairs of EU15 countries and with time ranging from 1964 to 2003, an extended gravity model of trade is applied in order to determine the effects of exchange rate volatility on bilateral trade fl ows of EU15 countries. The estimated impact is clearly negative, which indicates that exchange rate volatility has a negative infl uence on bilateral trade fl ows. Then, this traditional panel approach is contrasted with an alternative investigation based on fuzzy logic. The key elements of the fuzzy approach are to set fuzzy decision rules and to assign membership functions to the fuzzy sets intuitively based on experience. Both approaches yield very similar results and fuzzy approach is recommended to be used as a complement to statistical methods.
dc.identifier.citationElif Nuroglu & Robert M. Kunst (2012). The effects of exchange rate volatility on international trade flows: evidence from panel data analysis and fuzzy approach, Zbornik radova Ekonomskog fakulteta u Rijeci/Proceedings of Rijeka Faculty of Economics, 30 (1), 9-31.
dc.identifier.endpage31en_US
dc.identifier.issue1en_US
dc.identifier.startpage9en_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12846/910
dc.identifier.volume30en_US
dc.language.isoen
dc.relation.ispartofZbornik radova Ekonomskog fakulteta u Rijeci/Proceedings of Rijeka Faculty of Economics
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanı
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.subjectLinguistic modelingen_US
dc.subjectFuzzy relationsen_US
dc.subjectExchange rate volatilityen_US
dc.subjectBilateral tradeen_US
dc.subjectGravity modelen_US
dc.titleEffects of exchange rate volatility on international trade flows evidence from panel data analysis and fuzzy approach
dc.typeArticle

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